Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.356323 0.465904 0.585522 0.723897 0.877847 1.042379 1.230099
2025-07-27 0.231875 0.382145 0.563576 0.789646 1.056247 1.354498 1.707820
2025-08-03 0.165694 0.331794 0.548468 0.832248 1.178978 1.577024 2.058120
2025-08-10 0.107540 0.274281 0.511703 0.838652 1.251568 1.736572 2.332882
2025-08-17 0.053824 0.201951 0.440385 0.789350 1.246711 1.797155 2.485891
2025-08-24 0.019775 0.141230 0.371881 0.733335 1.225402 1.831762 2.603003
2025-08-31 0.005724 0.106431 0.334540 0.713879 1.246151 1.913900 2.773519
2025-09-07 0.000946 0.086978 0.318299 0.721715 1.300687 2.036432 2.991638
2025-09-14 NaN 0.066420 0.294336 0.714569 1.332770 2.129155 3.172230
2025-09-21 NaN 0.046766 0.265419 0.695922 1.346565 2.196886 3.320779
2025-09-28 NaN 0.043934 0.273969 0.737533 1.444510 2.372808 3.603370
2025-10-05 NaN 0.042921 0.286663 0.785950 1.552156 2.561451 3.902039
2025-10-12 NaN 0.039154 0.292793 0.825999 1.652159 2.745765 4.202723
2025-10-19 NaN 0.041393 0.316170 0.896555 1.797365 2.990822 4.581658
2025-10-26 NaN 0.038900 0.325228 0.942031 1.906143 3.188004 4.900388
2025-11-02 NaN 0.030136 0.312710 0.948879 1.958529 3.311095 5.126220
2025-11-09 NaN 0.015206 0.269042 0.896204 1.921551 3.314881 5.200721
2025-11-16 NaN 0.005014 0.224826 0.836238 1.870019 3.296759 5.245420
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001488 0.202738 0.815377 1.875227 3.352919 5.383018
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000455 0.195602 0.823781 1.924910 3.468958 5.597127
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.181563 0.816117 1.948814 3.549471 5.765301
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.162942 0.796106 1.952095 3.601039 5.895641
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.172873 0.840737 2.058582 3.794885 6.210380